Match Info

Date: 19 June 2021, Saturday


	Folgore Caratese		Gozzano

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.4
	2.39	3.08	2.67
	2.45	3.24	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.63)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	2.59 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
36.2%

Draw
28.8%

Gozzano
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

20.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folgore Caratese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gozzano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Folgore Caratese - Gozzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Folgore Caratese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gozzano in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Folgore Caratese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Folgore Caratese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
16.06.21	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	3:1 ✺
13.06.21	Folgore Caratese - Lavagnese	1:1 ✺
06.06.21	Legnano - Folgore Caratese	3:1 ✺
02.06.21	Folgore Caratese - Unione Sanremo	0:0 ✺
23.05.21	Folgore Caratese - Arconatese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLTW
- AC Gozzano
Italian Serie D - Group A
06.06.21	Gozzano - Sestri Levante	2:1 ✺
02.06.21	Gozzano - Bra	3:1 ✺
23.05.21	Caronnese - Gozzano	0:1 ✺
19.05.21	Derthona - Gozzano	0:2 ✺
16.05.21	Gozzano - Varese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
07.02.21	Gozzano - Folgore Caratese	1:0
29.03.18	Folgore Caratese - Gozzano	1:1
12.11.17	Gozzano - Folgore Caratese	1:0
02.04.17	Folgore Caratese - Gozzano	1:3
20.11.16	Gozzano - Folgore Caratese	0:2

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