Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Castellanzese		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.3	1.78
	4.34	3.47	1.74	Watch
	4.2	3	1.8
	4.75	3.36	1.69
	4.33	3.5	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (2.37)	3.33 ↑ (3.13)	1.74 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castellanzese
20.8%

Draw
27.2%

Folgore Caratese
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

29.1%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellanzese's form might have worsened.

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Folgore Caratese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellanzese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Folgore Caratese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellanzese won 1.

In recent matches, Castellanzese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Folgore Caratese is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Folgore Caratese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Castellanzese won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Castellanzese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.01.26	Caldiero Terme - Castellanzese	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Castellanzese - Breno	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Castellanzese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Milan Futuro - Castellanzese	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Castellanzese - Chievo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLW
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.01.26	Folgore Caratese - Villa Valle	3:0 ✺
06.01.26	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Sondrio - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Folgore Caratese - Brusaporto	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Real Calepina - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
21.09.25	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	2:1
27.04.25	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	3:2
15.12.24	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	5:1
28.01.24	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	1:2
01.10.23	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	2:2
24.04.22	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	2:1
08.12.21	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	0:2

Upcoming Matches