The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Foligno 30.8%
Draw 27.1%
Prato 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
29%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
29.6%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foligno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Foligno's form might have worsened.
Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Prato's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Foligno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Prato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Foligno - Prato Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Verde F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 0 - 2, Mencagli M. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).
Foligno has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Prato is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Foligno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Prato
6
4
2
0
9:4
5
14
Last Results with these Odds
Prato - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 30.83%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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