Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Prato		Foligno

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.15	3.45
	1.91	3.29	3.59
	2.19	3.25	3.04	Watch
	1.97	3.18	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (2.01)	3.22 ↓ (3.43)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prato
45.2%

Draw
28.2%

Foligno
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Prato have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Foligno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prato than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Prato - Foligno Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Prato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Verde F. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Tomassini S. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Rossetti S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 🟥,
90', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

Prato is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Foligno's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Prato could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.11.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Prato	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Prato - Ghiviborgo	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Prato	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Siena - Prato	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Prato - Cannara	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWTW
- Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.11.25	Foligno - Ghiviborgo	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Foligno	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Foligno - Siena	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Foligno	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Foligno - Terranuova Traiana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLWWT

Prato - Foligno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide