Match Info

National League South - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Alcaline Stadium (Folkestone)


	Folkestone Invicta		Farnham Town

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.80	3.80
	1.77	3.55	3.65
	1.74	4.16	4.17
	1.72	4.12	4.07	Watch
	1.71	4.05	4.05
	1.77	4.05	3.90
	1.71	3.85	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	3.94 ↑ (3.82)	3.94 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
53.3%

Draw
23.4%

Farnham Town
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

23.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.6%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Farnham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnham Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Folkestone Invicta - Farnham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Dean O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Pigott J. ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Bingham R. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Recent performances by Folkestone have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Farnham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Farnham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Folkestone is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Farnham: 5.21% Folkestone: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Farnham	10	5	2	3	16:14	2	17
15	Folkestone	10	3	3	4	15:12	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English National League South
08.09.26	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Torquay United - Folkestone Invicta	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Folkestone Invicta - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Slough Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Folkestone Invicta - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWWT
- Farnham Town
English National League South
05.09.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Farnham Town	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Farnham Town - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Horsham - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Farnham Town - Billericay Town	2:4 ✺
18.08.26	Slough Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWLW

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