Match Info

National League South - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Alcaline Stadium (Folkestone)


	Folkestone Invicta		Horsham

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.40	3.50
	1.95	3.4	3.45
	1.85	3.75	3.95
	1.86	3.75	3.76	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.8
	1.87	3.74	3.74
	1.94	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.94)	3.59 ↓ (3.66)	3.66 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
49.1%

Draw
25.7%

Horsham
25.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

25.3%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Folkestone Invicta - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Cosgrave A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, Hester-Cook C. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folkestone won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Horsham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Horsham has had a series of home games.

Folkestone could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Folkestone won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Folkestone won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Folkestone	12	4	4	4	18:14	4	16
14	Horsham FC	12	3	6	3	14:15	-1	15

Outrights of English National League South for now

Folkestone: 1.81% Horsham FC: 0.93%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English National League South
05.09.26	Torquay United - Folkestone Invicta	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Folkestone Invicta - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Slough Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Folkestone Invicta - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
18.08.26	Maidstone United - Folkestone Invicta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWTT
- Horsham FC
English National League South
05.09.26	Horsham - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Horsham - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Braintree Town - Horsham	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Horsham - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Horsham - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.01.25	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	3:0
26.11.24	Horsham - Folkestone Invicta	0:1
06.04.24	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	3:1
16.12.23	Horsham - Folkestone Invicta	2:1
11.02.23	Horsham - Folkestone Invicta	1:3
26.11.22	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	3:0
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	2:0

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