Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Folkestone Invicta		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.3	3.5	1.98
	3.2	3.49	2
	1.60	3.37	6.48	Watch
	3.43	3.42	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.68)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	2.77 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
33.7%

Draw
30%

Maidstone United
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

26.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.5%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folkestone Invicta's performance.

Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maidstone United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folkestone Invicta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maidstone United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Folkestone Invicta - Maidstone United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maidstone will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maidstone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Folkestone is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Maidstone has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Maidstone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Maidstone might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Folkestone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Folkestone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.09.25	Folkestone Invicta - Whitehawk	4:1 ✺
25.08.25	Chatham Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Folkestone Invicta - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Canvey Island - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Cray Wanderers - Folkestone Invicta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWT
- Maidstone United
English National League South
06.09.25	Maidstone United - Horsham	0:3 ✺
02.09.25	Weston-super-Mare - Maidstone United	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Worthing - Maidstone United	3:3 ✺
25.08.25	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Totton - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.24	Folkestone Invicta - Maidstone United	0:1
09.07.19	Folkestone Invicta - Maidstone United	1:1
09.07.18	Folkestone Invicta - Maidstone United	0:5

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