Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Chatham Town		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.2
	1.55	3.95	4.55
	1.59	4.09	4.65
	1.58	3.85	4.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.8)	3.92 ↑ (3.48)	4.57 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chatham Town
57.1%

Draw
23.1%

Folkestone Invicta
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

24.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chatham Town's performance.

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+2%)

Chatham Town - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Fadahunsi T. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Lokko K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, Yusuff A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chatham won 4.

Chatham is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Folkestone is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Folkestone has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chatham is considered a favorite.

We predict that Chatham will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chatham won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chatham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.08.25	Aveley - Chatham Town	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Chatham Town - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
12.08.25	Chatham Town - Ramsgate	4:2 ✺
09.08.25	St Albans City - Chatham Town	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Chatham Town - Coventry City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWTW
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.08.25	Folkestone Invicta - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Canvey Island - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Cray Wanderers - Folkestone Invicta	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Chichester City - Folkestone Invicta	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Tonbridge Angels - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.03.25	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	1:3
14.12.24	Chatham Town - Folkestone Invicta	4:1
13.04.24	Chatham Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:0
15.08.23	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	2:3
Club Friendly
13.07.21	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	2:0
English FA Cup
03.10.20	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	0:3

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