Match Info

National League South - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Gallagher Stadium (Maidstone)


	Maidstone United		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.82	3.5	3.9
	1.85	3.6	4.05
	1.94	3.12	4.15	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.75
	1.85	3.52	3.86
	1.93	3.66	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)	3.44 ↓ (3.66)	3.85 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidstone United
49.5%

Draw
26.7%

Chelmsford City
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

25%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

25.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Maidstone United - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 3.

In recent matches, Maidstone has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chelmsford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Maidstone is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Maidstone won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidstone United
English National League South
23.08.25	Totton - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Maidstone United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Maidstone United - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Maidstone United - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTTL
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
23.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chelmsford City - Horsham	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Witham Town - Chelmsford City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
27.01.25	Chelmsford City - Maidstone United	0:0
03.09.24	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	1:5
12.03.24	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	2:0
20.11.23	Chelmsford City - Maidstone United	0:1
30.04.22	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	3:1
21.08.21	Chelmsford City - Maidstone United	1:2
24.10.20	Chelmsford City - Maidstone United	1:0

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