Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 4

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Langhus kunstgress (Langhus)


	Follo		Skeid

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.88
	3.3	3.87	1.96
	3.3	3.87	1.96
	3.42	3.79	1.91
	3.3	3.6	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.77)	3.75 ↓ (3.89)	1.93 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Follo
27.8%

Draw
24.5%

Skeid
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

23.8%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

23.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Follo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ostbye S. (C) 22. Badsvik M. 5. Brekke E. 23. Elshaug R. 30. Ghebar D. 18. Gonella R. 27. Jorde J. 21. Mulaj E. 3. Osen H. 10. Ottesen M. 6. Tomas N.	1. Andersen M. (G) 3. Flo F. 2. Ghaedamini K. 9. Kalabatama K. 5. Lange T. 6. Naustdal T. 10. Ness U. 39. Rise B. 4. Steiring P. (C) 14. Toure O. 8. Yusuf H.
Substitutes
4. Giltvedt K. 7. Henning E. 24. Joves V. 25. Lenoci E. H. 8. Lundmark L. 13. Ostbye E. (G) 17. Rishaug O. 14. Ruud H. L. 28. Schmidt-Lovlund N.	32. Aaserud M. 23. Fjellestad N. 26. Hjelde E. 24. Lazarevic F. (G) 21. Lindback M. 30. Lunde D. 29. Shahid M. 17. Stensrud A. 18. Tjostheim E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Ness U. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Naustdal T. 🟨,
64', Naustdal T. 🟨,
65', Toure O. ↓, Tjostheim E. ↑,
65', Rise B. ↓, Aaserud M. ↑,
72', Ness U. ↓, Stensrud A. ↑,
74', Gonella R. ↓, Henning E. ↑,
82', Tomas N. ↓, Rishaug O. ↑,
82', Jorde J. ↓, Joves V. ↑,
90', Kalabatama K. ↓, Lunde D. ↑,

Preview

Follo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Skeid is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Skeid could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Follo have a series of guest games.

Skeid will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Follo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Follo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follo
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
20.04.24	Stjørdals-Blink - Follo	4:2 ✺
14.04.24	Follo - Alta	4:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Oppsal - Follo	3:1 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
06.04.24	Strømmen - Follo	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.03.24	Grorud - Follo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
23.04.24	Skeid - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
19.04.24	Skeid - Kjelsås	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Strindheim - Skeid	0:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Gamle Oslo - Skeid	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
06.04.24	Skeid - Tromsdalen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
07.10.17	Follo - Skeid	5:2
24.06.17	Skeid - Follo	1:2
22.10.16	Skeid - Follo	2:1
03.07.16	Follo - Skeid	2:0

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