Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 12

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	Follonica Gavorrano		Città di Castello

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	3.9
	1.81	3.31	3.89
	1.73	3.5	3.75
	1.72	3.62	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.56)	3.48 ↓ (3.68)	3.92 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Follonica Gavorrano
51.4%

Draw
25.8%

Città di Castello
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.3%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Follonica Gavorrano's form might have worsened.

Città di Castello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Follonica Gavorrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Castello than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Città di Castello, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

Follonica Gavorrano is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Città di Castello is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Città di Castello could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Follonica Gavorrano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
06.11.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	SanGiovanniValdarno - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:3 ✺
16.10.22	Grosseto - Follonica Gavorrano	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Orvietana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTTW
- SSD Group Città di Castello
Italian Serie D - Group E
13.11.22	Città di Castello - Pianese	1:3 ✺
06.11.22	Poggibonsi - Città di Castello	5:0 ✺
29.10.22	Città di Castello - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Tau Altopascio - Città di Castello	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Città di Castello - Livorno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.10.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Terranuova Traiana	✺

Follonica Gavorrano - Città di Castello: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide