Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Play Out - Final

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Imolese		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.09	3.34	Watch
	2.27	3.02	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.45)	3.06 ↑ (3)	3.19 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Imolese
41.5%

Draw
29.9%

Sasso Marconi
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Imolese - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 2)
103', 0 - 1, ⚽,
104', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Imolese has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sasso Marconi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Imolese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imolese won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Imolese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Imolese - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.15%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie D - Group D
03.05.26	Imolese - Rovato Vertovese	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Sasso Marconi - Imolese	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Imolese - Desenzano Calvina	4:3 ✺
02.04.26	Imolese - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Pro Sesto - Imolese	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.4 WTWWW
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
03.05.26	Progresso - Sasso Marconi	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	Sasso Marconi - Imolese	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sasso Marconi - Rovato Vertovese	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Desenzano Calvina - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Sasso Marconi - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
26.04.26	Sasso Marconi - Imolese	1:1
14.12.25	Imolese - Sasso Marconi	1:3
23.03.25	Imolese - Sasso Marconi	0:0
10.11.24	Sasso Marconi - Imolese	1:1
03.12.17	Sasso Marconi - Imolese	0:2

Upcoming Matches