Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 25

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Fontinhas		União de Tomar

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.4	8.25
	1.3	4.5	9.5
	1.31	4.98	9.53
	1.3	4.98	9.54
	1.3	4.55	9.55
	1.3	4.5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.46)	4.65 ↑ (3.97)	9.31 ↑ (7.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fontinhas
70.4%

Draw
19.7%

União de Tomar
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23.4%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

16.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fontinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fontinhas's performance.

União de Tomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (-25.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fontinhas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Tomar than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União de Tomar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
55', 2 - 0, ⚽,
65', 🟥,
76', 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Tomar is Relegated to

Recent matches Fontinhas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tomar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Fontinhas is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fontinhas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Fontinhas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.03.24	Alverca B - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Fontinhas - Mortágua	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	União de Santarém - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Fontinhas - Sertanense	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Fontinhas - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLLT
- União de Tomar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.03.24	União de Tomar - Sertanense	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	União de Tomar - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Mortágua - União de Tomar	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	União de Tomar - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Marinhense - União de Tomar	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.12.23	União de Tomar - Fontinhas	0:1

Fontinhas - União de Tomar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide