Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 13

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday


	Fontinhas		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.87	2.2
	3.2	2.9	2.25
	3.23	2.94	2.23
	3.37	2.84	2.35
	3.33	2.83	2.26
	3.3	2.9	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.22)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	2.25 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fontinhas
28%

Draw
31.6%

Sertanense
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fontinhas's form might have worsened.

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sertanense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fontinhas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sertanense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Fontinhas - Sertanense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fontinhas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent matches Fontinhas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sertanense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Sertanense have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fontinhas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Fontinhas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Fontinhas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
25.02.24	Fontinhas - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Peniche - Fontinhas	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Fontinhas - SB Castelo Branco	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Gouveia - Fontinhas	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	Fontinhas - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TTWLW
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.02.24	Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Mortágua - Sertanense	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Sertanense - União de Coimbra	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	União de Santarém - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Sertanense - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.05.22	Sertanense - Fontinhas	3:1
16.04.22	Fontinhas - Sertanense	1:0
18.12.21	Fontinhas - Sertanense	0:1
29.08.21	Sertanense - Fontinhas	0:2
16.02.20	Fontinhas - Sertanense	1:1

Fontinhas - Sertanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide