Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 24

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Alverca B		Fontinhas

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.05	4.34
	1.68	4.05	4.34
	1.66	3.38	5.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.09)	3.83 ↑ (3.18)	4.58 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca B
55.5%

Draw
24.3%

Fontinhas
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27.3%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alverca B's performance.

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fontinhas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alverca B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fontinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Alverca B has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fontinhas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alverca B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alverca B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.24	União de Tomar - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Alverca B - Sertanense	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Alverca B - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	União de Santarém - Alverca B	3:1 ✺
14.02.24	SC Lusitânia - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- GD Fontinhas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.24	Fontinhas - Mortágua	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	União de Santarém - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Fontinhas - Sertanense	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Fontinhas - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Peniche - Fontinhas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.12.23	Fontinhas - Alverca B	0:1

Alverca B - Fontinhas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide