Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 23 February 2023, Thursday

Location: Al Janoub Stadium (Al Wakrah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sport 1+
Serbia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Foolad Khuzestan		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7	4.2	1.46	Watch
	5.8	3.95	1.49
	7.67	4.29	1.48
	7	3.9	1.42
	7.2	4.3	1.46	Watch
	6.6	4.1	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.88 ↑ (4.9)	4.12 ↑ (3.62)	1.46 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foolad Khuzestan
13.6%

Draw
22.6%

Al-Hilal
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

25.5%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

25%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foolad Khuzestan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Foolad Khuzestan's form might have worsened.

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Hilal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foolad Khuzestan than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Hilal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Foolad Khuzestan - Al Hilal Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Foolad will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Al-Hilal have a series of guest games.

In this match Al-Hilal is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Foolad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Foolad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foolad Khuzestan FC
AFC Champions League
20.02.23	Al-Faisaly - Foolad Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
13.02.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Foolad Khuzestan	2:0 ✺
07.02.23	Foolad Khuzestan - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Tractor Sazi - Foolad Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
27.01.23	Foolad Khuzestan - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLLW
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
AFC Champions League
20.02.23	Al-Hilal - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:1 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
11.02.23	Real Madrid - Al-Hilal	5:3 ✺
07.02.23	Flamengo - Al-Hilal	2:3 ✺
04.02.23	Wydad Casablanca - Al-Hilal	1:2 penalties ✺
Saudi Super Cup
26.01.23	Al-Feiha - Al-Hilal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
08.04.15	Al-Hilal - Foolad Khuzestan	2:0
17.03.15	Foolad Khuzestan - Al-Hilal	0:0

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