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Current Win Probability
Forge 46.5%
Draw 28.1%
Vancouver FC 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
24.4%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
23%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forge's form might have worsened.
Vancouver FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vancouver FC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vancouver FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Forge - Vancouver FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Bertaud D. (G) 24. Rama R. 5. Nimick D. 8. Batisse A. 3. Jevremovic M. 19. Borges T. 10. Bekker K. (C) 6. Paton B. 14. Johnson L. 26. Sadek A. 11. Ampomah N.
1. Irving C. (C) 3. Doner M. 5. Campagna M. 30. Field T. 23. Proctor K. 21. Polisi M. 6. Pecile D. 7. Bah E. 20. Mezquida N. 10. Amissi M. 9. Mousset L.
Substitutes
23. Aromatario A. 36. Bontis D. (G) 87. Bourgeois M. 22. Jensen N. 4. Krutzen D. 17. Massunda H. 7. Oketokoun I.
14. Campbell T. 2. Gee P. 15. Ouattara A. 18. Powell T. 33. Regitnig H. (G) 8. Toomey L. 11. Traore A.
Coaches
Smyrniotis B.
Nash M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Ampomah N. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Pecile D. ⚽, Bah E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Johnson L. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
48', Paton B. 🟨,
62', Bekker K. ↓, Krutzen D. ↑,
63', Ampomah N. ↓, Oketokoun I. ↑,
63', Mousset L. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
67', Borges T. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
68', Smyrniotis B. 🟨,
68', Rama R. 🟨,
79', Rama R. ↓, Bourgeois M. ↑,
86', Amissi M. ↓, Gee P. ↑,
86', Mezquida N. 🟨,
87', Bourgeois M. 🟨,
90+4', Mezquida N. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
90+6', Batisse A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 4.
Forge has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Vancouver FC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Forge is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Forge will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Forge won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Forge ✔
24
14
6
4
38:20
18
48
4
Vancouver FC
25
9
6
10
35:33
2
33
Last Results with these Odds
Forge - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.54%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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Bertaud D. (G) 
Rama R. 
Nimick D. 
Batisse A. 
Jevremovic M. 
Ampomah N. 
Field T. 
Mezquida N. 
Amissi M. 
Krutzen D. 
Oketokoun I. 
Toomey L. 
Traore A. 
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