The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HFX Wanderers 16.9%
Draw 23.2%
Forge 59.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21%
24.3%
54.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.2%
24.6%
54%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forge's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
HFX Wanderers - Forge Predictions
Users Predictions:
Forge will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carducci M. (G) 21. Alphonse J. 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. 2. Linder F. 7. Telfer R. 6. Callegari L. 5. Olguin L. 22. Zitman S. 8. Johnston I. (C) 24. Kachwele C. 23. Arilla M.
16. Bertaud D. (G) 24. Rama R. 5. Nimick D. 8. Batisse A. 3. Jevremovic M. 19. Borges T. (C) 23. Aromatario A. 6. Paton B. 11. Ampomah N. 9. Wright B. 17. Massunda H.
Substitutes
12. Astridge S. (G) 14. Bahamboula J. 20. Ciccarelli T. 33. Hassan I. A. 18. Rampersad A. 11. Reid A. 17. Troisi F.
18. Babouli M. 10. Bekker K. 36. Bontis D. (G) 22. Jensen N. 4. Krutzen D. 7. Oketokoun I. 26. Sadek A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Massunda H. 🟨,
35', Batisse A. 🟨,
39', Kachwele C. ↓, Bahamboula J. ↑,
45+3', Nimick D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Johnston I. 🟨,
64', Wright B. ↓, Sadek A. ↑,
64', Aromatario A. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
69', Arilla M. ↓, Troisi F. ↑,
69', Zitman S. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
72', Massunda H. ↓, Oketokoun I. ↑,
74', Ampomah N. ↓, Babouli M. ↑,
79', Borges T. 🟨,
80', Reid A. 🟨,
85', Johnston I. ↓, Rampersad A. ↑,
85', Borges T. ↓, Krutzen D. ↑,
85', Olguin L. ↓, Ciccarelli T. ↑,
90+4', Oketokoun I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 0.
In recent matches, HFX Wanderers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Forge is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
HFX Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Forge is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:36. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).