Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Forlì		Pineto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.1
	2.13	3.41	3.17
	2.47	3.11	2.85	Watch
	2.14	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.42	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.42)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	3.03 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
40.6%

Draw
29%

Pineto
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Forlì - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Martelli L. (G) 24. Cavallini G. 23. De Risio C. 25. Elia M. 11. Farinelli N. 6. Franzolini A. 10. Macri D. 27. Manetti G. 7. Petrelli E. 8. Ripani D. 4. Saporetti L.	22. Tonti A. (G) 17. Baggi F. 11. Borsoi M. 10. Bruzzaniti G. 9. D'Andrea F. 52. Frare D. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 99. Pellegrino A. 4. Postiglione N. 5. Schirone L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', De Risio C. ↓, Manuzzi F. ↑,
65', Frare D. 🟨,
68', Germinario G. 🟨,
70', Franzolini A. ↓, Saporetti S. ↑,
70', D'Andrea F. 🟨,
76', Ripani D. ↓, Giovannini A. ↑,
76', Cavallini G. ↓, Coveri V. ↑,
77', Pellegrino A. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
77', Germinario G. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
80', Petrelli E. 🟨,
86', Lombardi L. ↓, Viero F. ↑,
86', Baggi F. ↓, Serbouti A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Giovannini A. ⚽,
90+2', Giovannini A. 🟨,
90+4', Borsoi M. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Forlì is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pineto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pineto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Forlì could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Forlì won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Forlì won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Pineto - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.68%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
17.10.25	Sassari Torres - Forlì	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Forlì - Ternana	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Forlì - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Pontedera - Forlì	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWLW
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
19.10.25	Pineto - Perugia	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Pineto - Livorno	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ternana - Pineto	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pineto - Rimini	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Ascoli - Pineto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
16.01.19	Pineto - Forlì	1:2
26.09.18	Forlì - Pineto	0:0

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