Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Ternana		Pineto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.33
	1.75	3.3	4.65
	1.77	3.31	5.38
	1.09	7.45	25.00	Watch
	1.72	3.25	4.79	Watch
	1.74	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	3.94 ↑ (3.35)	8.11 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ternana
61.8%

Draw
25.7%

Pineto
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

27.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

26.1%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ternana's performance.

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Ternana - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 19. Capuano M. 87. Martella B. 2. Bianay Balcot C. 4. Vallocchia A. 16. Garetto M. 43. Ndrecka A. 5. Tripi F. 9. Dubickas E. 10. Leonardi S.	22. Tonti A. (G) 17. Baggi F. 4. Postiglione N. 55. Capomaggio T. 11. Borsoi M. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 5. Schirone L. 68. Menna T. 9. D'Andrea F. 10. Bruzzaniti G.
Substitutes
36. Biondini G. 11. Brignola E. 70. Durmush M. 29. Longoni M. 13. Maestrelli A. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 80. Proietti M. 7. Romeo F. 33. Valenti M. 1. Vitali T. (G)	6. Amadio S. 79. Di Lazzaro F. 16. Gagliardi L. 30. Iaccarino P. 3. Ienco S. 1. Marone F. (G) 7. Marrancone A. 28. Nebuloso G. 45. Tupone S. 12. Verna A. (G) 18. Viero F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Postiglione N. ⚽,
17', Tripi F. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Leonardi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Bruzzaniti G. 🟨,
54', Bianay Balcot C. ↓, Romeo F. ↑,
54', Garetto M. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
64', Leonardi S. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Dubickas E. ⚽,
73', Menna T. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
73', Borsoi M. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
73', Germinario G. ↓, Amadio S. ↑,
83', Lombardi L. ↓, Viero F. ↑,
83', Schirone L. ↓, Iaccarino P. ↑,
84', Martella B. ↓, Meccariello B. ↑,
84', Dubickas E. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 12).

Ternana is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pineto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ternana is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ternana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Ravenna - Ternana	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Ternana - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Sassari Torres - Ternana	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ternana - Carpi	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Rimini - Ternana	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTWW
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Pineto - Rimini	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Ascoli - Pineto	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Pineto - Juventus U23	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Campobasso - Pineto	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Pineto - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
17.01.25	Pineto - Ternana	1:0
15.09.24	Ternana - Pineto	3:0

Upcoming Matches