Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 2

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pineto		Livorno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.90	2.55
	2.55	2.95	2.65	Watch
	2.61	3	2.95
	2.68	2.93	2.68	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.85
	2.55	3.12	2.81	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.35)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	2.74 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
35.6%

Draw
30.9%

Livorno
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.5%

29.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Pineto - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 3. Ienco S. 52. Frare D. 13. Alessandretti G. 7. Guadagni G. 21. Lombardi L. 8. Germinario G. 28. D'Orazio T. 99. Pellegrino A. 70. Forte R. 9. Vigliotti G.	91. Martinez M. (G) 19. Regazzetti S. 4. Bachini M. 53. Pittino T. 54. Falasco N. 17. Arrigoni T. 5. Bacciardi A. 11. Malagrida L. 7. Aramu M. 77. Mawete J. C. 13. Di Carmine S.
Substitutes
77. Ardizzone S. 41. Asmussen A. 43. Colaneri A. 10. Delle Monache M. 5. Di Renzo G. 15. Ferrante D. 4. Nebuloso G. 69. Pistillo D. 23. Serbouti A. 1. Turi C. (G)	44. Bonassi L. 90. Calabro L. 22. Ciobanu D. (G) 6. Djidji K. 9. Gabbiani G. 2. Gentile D. 21. Malotti M. 14. Mancini T. 23. Marinari J. 3. Menarini F. 8. Peralta D. 28. Rizza A. 1. Tani F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Arrigoni T. 🟨,
35', Falasco N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Forte R. ↓, Delle Monache M. ↑,
57', Malagrida L. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
58', Falasco N. ↓, Djidji K. ↑,
69', Djidji K. 🟨,
72', Pellegrino A. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
72', D'Orazio T. ↓, Serbouti A. ↑,
77', Aramu M. ↓, Gabbiani G. ↑,
77', Di Carmine S. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
85', Guadagni G. ↓, Pistillo D. ↑,
88', Germinario G. 🟨,
90+1', Lombardi L. 🟨,
90+6', Delle Monache M. 🟥,
90+9', Djidji K. 🟥,

Preview

Recent form of Pineto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pineto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pineto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Livorno	9	4	3	2	11:10	1	15
17	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Pineto - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.53%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
23.08.26	Latina - Pineto	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Pineto - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.26	Pro Vasto - Pineto	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Pineto - Notaresco	4:1 ✺
01.08.26	Pineto - L Aquila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWL
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
24.08.26	Livorno - Sassari Torres	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Livorno - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Pontedera - Livorno	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Arezzo - Livorno	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Livorno - Gubbio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.02.26	Livorno - Pineto	1:0
11.10.25	Pineto - Livorno	3:0

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