The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forlì 39.5%
Draw 28.4%
Sassari Torres 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
28.1%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
29.2%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Sassari Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Forlì - Sassari Torres Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Theiner D. (G) 26. Palomba L. 36. Onofri M. 35. Diop S. 6. De Risio C. 10. Macri D. (C) 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 21. Mattioli G. 11. Farinelli N. 7. Petrelli E. 9. Coveri V.
12. Zaccagno A. (G) 26. Kebbeh M. 23. Antonelli N. 3. Berto G. 20. Lunghi A. 5. Giorico D. 8. Masala A. 15. Liviero M. 18. Pennington N. 7. Di Stefano L. 9. Scotto L. (C)
Substitutes
24. Attasi M. 19. Gabellini T. 2. Mandrelli N. 95. Munaretti L. 18. Perini G. 30. Perretta G. 33. Rossi D. 17. Spinelli A. 1. Tagliaferri A. (G) 99. Tordiglione N. 15. Valentini F. 4. Valentini F. 34. Veliaj G. (G) 77. Zerbo P.
4. Brentan M. 11. Bunino C. 21. Corsinelli F. 10. Mastinu G. 30. Sanat A. 1. Tirelli D. (G) 77. Zecca G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Di Stefano L. ⚽, Scotto L. (A),
31', Pennington N. 🟨,
45+2', Masala A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Lunghi A. ↓, Zecca G. ↑,
56', Petrelli E. 🟨,
58', Petrelli E. ↓, Gabellini T. ↑,
60', Masala A. ↓, Brentan M. ↑,
60', Pennington N. ↓, Mastinu G. ↑,
68', Di Stefano L. 🟨,
69', Kebbeh M. ↓, Bunino C. ↑,
70', Giorico D. ↓, Corsinelli F. ↑,
70', Onofri M. ↓, Perretta G. ↑,
70', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Perini G. ↑,
76', Mattioli G. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Coveri V. ⚽,
80', Diop S. ↓, Munaretti L. ↑,
80', Coveri V. ↓, Valentini F. ↑,
90+4', Scotto L. 🟨,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 6th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forlì won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Forlì has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:5 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Forlì against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:2 goals (averaging 2:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Torres
8
3
3
2
9:9
0
12
11
Forli
8
2
4
2
13:12
1
10
Last Results with these Odds
Forlì - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.69%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Sassari Torres - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.24%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.