Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli)


	Forlì		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.8
	1.61	3.65	4.9
	1.59	3.55	5.16
	1.6	3.6	5.4	Watch
	1.55	3.5	5
	1.61	3.5	5.22
	1.61	3.65	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.87)	3.58 ↑ (3.3)	5.05 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
56.8%

Draw
25.3%

Sasso Marconi
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

27%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forlì's performance.

Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sasso Marconi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forlì that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sasso Marconi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Forlì - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Lilli F. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Jassey Y. ⚽,
45+6', 2 - 1, Petrelli E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 3 - 1, Macri D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie D - Group D
09.11.24	Ravenna - Forlì	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Forlì - Prato	2:0 ✺
30.10.24	Cittadella Vis Modena - Forlì	2:3 ✺
27.10.24	Progresso - Forlì	0:0 ✺
23.10.24	Forlì - Lentigione	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTT
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
10.11.24	Sasso Marconi - Imolese	1:1 ✺
30.10.24	Tuttocuoio - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Sasso Marconi - Pistoiese	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Piacenza - Sasso Marconi	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Sasso Marconi - Sammaurese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
27.02.22	Forlì - Sasso Marconi	1:0
20.10.21	Sasso Marconi - Forlì	3:1
09.05.21	Sasso Marconi - Forlì	1:1
10.01.21	Forlì - Sasso Marconi	1:1
26.01.20	Sasso Marconi - Forlì	3:1
22.09.19	Forlì - Sasso Marconi	1:0
21.02.18	Forlì - Sasso Marconi	2:3

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