Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Sasso Marconi		Imolese

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.2
	2.14	3.07	3.14
	2.15	3.16	3.21	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.2
	2.16	3.05	3.22
	2.09	3.11	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.02)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sasso Marconi
42.1%

Draw
29.7%

Imolese
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Imolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Sasso Marconi - Imolese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Rizzi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

In recent matches, Sasso Marconi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Imolese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Imolese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sasso Marconi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sasso Marconi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sasso Marconi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.04.26	Sasso Marconi - Rovato Vertovese	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Desenzano Calvina - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Sasso Marconi - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Sasso Marconi	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sasso Marconi - Tuttocuoio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW
- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.04.26	Imolese - Desenzano Calvina	4:3 ✺
02.04.26	Imolese - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Pro Sesto - Imolese	2:4 ✺
21.03.26	Imolese - Crema	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	SantAngelo - Imolese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
14.12.25	Imolese - Sasso Marconi	1:3
23.03.25	Imolese - Sasso Marconi	0:0
10.11.24	Sasso Marconi - Imolese	1:1
03.12.17	Sasso Marconi - Imolese	0:2

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