Match Info

Coppa Italia Serie C - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli)


	Forlì		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.01	3.17	3.65	Watch
	2.03	3.1	3.53
	1.88	3.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.82)	3.11 ↓ (3.5)	3.64 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
45.9%

Draw
29.2%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.9%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forlì's form might have worsened.

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forlì, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Forlì - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, Nanni N. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Forlì has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ArzignanoChiampo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Forlì is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Forlì won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Forlì won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Forlì - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.19%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Forlì - Pineto	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Sassari Torres - Forlì	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Forlì - Ternana	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Forlì - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Pontedera - Forlì	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWTWL
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Lumezzane	3:3 ✺
17.10.25	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Ospitaletto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Trento - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
17.01.16	Forlì - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1

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