Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Formentera		Valencia B

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.85	2.1
	3.6	2.95	2.15
	3.75	2.88	2.15
	3.75	2.88	2.15
	3.56	2.96	2.07
	3.5	2.9	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.47)	2.9 ↓ (3.18)	2.12 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Formentera
25.4%

Draw
31.5%

Valencia B
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Formentera's form might have worsened.

Valencia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valencia B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Formentera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Formentera - Valencia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Formentera won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Formentera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Formentera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.11.23	Espanyol B - Formentera	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Formentera - Lleida	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Badalona Futur - Formentera	1:0 ✺
25.10.23	La Nucía - Formentera	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Formentera - Peña Deportiva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WWLWL
- Valencia B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.11.23	Valencia B - La Nucía	3:2 ✺
05.11.23	Espanyol B - Valencia B	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Valencia B - Hércules	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Lleida - Valencia B	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Valencia B - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.05.23	Valencia B - Formentera	2:2
15.01.23	Formentera - Valencia B	0:1
25.03.18	Formentera - Valencia B	1:1
01.11.17	Valencia B - Formentera	2:0

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