Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 4

Date: 17 February 2023, Friday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)


	Fortaleza		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.6	9.25
	1.3	4.25	9.5
	1.25	4.37	10.38
	1.29	4.2	11
	1.28	4.8	10.5	Watch
	1.31	4.5	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)	4.45 ↑ (3.98)	9.91 ↑ (8.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
70.4%

Draw
20.4%

CS Alagoano
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

22.6%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

22.3%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Fortaleza - CS Alagoano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

CSA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fortaleza have a series of guest games.

Recently CSA have a series of home games.

In this match Fortaleza is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.23	Bahia - Fortaleza	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
07.02.23	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.23	ABC - Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
01.02.23	Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense	6:1 ✺
29.01.23	Barbalha - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWW
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.23	CS Alagoano - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
11.02.23	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.23	CS Alagoano - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
02.02.23	CS Alagoano - Aliança Pilarense	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.04.21	Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	2:1
07.03.20	Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
17.11.19	Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	3:0
12.08.19	CS Alagoano - Fortaleza	0:2
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.01.19	Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
06.11.18	Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	1:1
20.07.18	CS Alagoano - Fortaleza	0:0

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