Match Info

Date: 24 February 2022, Thursday


	Fortaleza		Pacajus

	1	X	2
	1.11	6.75	21
	1.13	6	17
	1.09	6	17
	1.08	7.73	27.13
	1.12	5.8	19
	1.12	7.3	18.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.42)	6.6 ↑ (4.13)	19.9 ↑ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
81.7%

Draw
13.7%

Pacajus
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

13.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.

Pacajus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pacajus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-42.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pacajus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortaleza - Pacajus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Fortaleza is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.02.22	Fortaleza - Bahia	3:1 ✺
15.02.22	Botafogo PB - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Fortaleza	2:2 ✺
05.02.22	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:1 ✺
02.02.22	Floresta - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTTTW
- Pacajus EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
19.02.22	Pacajus - Atlético Cearense	1:2 ✺
16.02.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Maracanã - Pacajus	1:2 ✺
08.02.22	Pacajus - Icasa	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Pacajus - Crato	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
05.05.21	Pacajus - Fortaleza	0:0
11.03.20	Fortaleza - Pacajus	3:0

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