The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rionegro Águilas 50.6%
Draw 27.3%
Fortaleza CEIF 22.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.3%
27.3%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.6%
26.6%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 19th).
Rionegro Águilas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Fortaleza has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Rionegro Águilas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Rionegro Águilas carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Rionegro Águilas has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rionegro Águilas against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Aguilas
16
5
7
4
21:20
1
22
19
Fortaleza
15
1
9
5
16:22
-6
12
Last Results with these Odds
Fortaleza CEIF - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 22.4%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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