Match Info

Liga Women - Round 11

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)


	Fortaleza CEIF		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	8.3	4.65	1.29
	7.6	4.45	1.36
	7.38	4.28	1.38	Watch
	7.5	4	1.33
	7.02	4.7	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.56 ↓ (8.41)	4.42 ↓ (4.83)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
12%

Draw
20.5%

Millonarios
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

18.9%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.1%

17.6%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Millonarios could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Manrique M. (G) 3. Martinez M. 2. Bohorquez S. 23. Bejarano V. 10. Garzon K. 15. Saenz M. 14. Aroca L. (C) 11. Santana D. 5. Olivares L. 20. Collazos S. 17. Puertas K.	12. Gamboa D. (G) 26. Benavides M. 15. Calvo L. 2. Viafara F. 25. Olaya R. 11. Salazar L. (C) 10. Castaneda Vanegas A. J. 16. Gomez L. 9. Sanchez I. 3. Arboleda L. 79. Restrepo K.
Substitutes
21. Agudelo S. 25. Arcila A. 12. Callejas I. (G) 13. Cardenas N. 27. Henao S. 8. Murcia S. 24. Peralta L. 9. Torres R. 6. Vergel C.	18. Amado I. 4. Bolano L. 14. Carabali E. 7. Celis D. 99. Garrido E. 22. Rodriguez J. (G) 17. Tamayo L. 27. Valencia K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Restrepo K. (Penalty Awarded),
15', Puertas K. 🟨,
43', Viafara F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Puertas K. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Restrepo K. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
61', Bejarano V. ↓, Peralta L. ↑,
65', Olaya R. ↓, Tamayo L. ↑,
66', Gomez L. ↓, Valencia K. ↑,
66', Calvo L. ↓, Bolano L. ↑,
76', Restrepo K. ↓, Celis D. ↑,
88', Olivares L. ↓, Cardenas N. ↑,
88', Collazos S. ↓, Henao S. ↑,
88', Santana D. ↓, Murcia S. ↑,
88', Salazar L. ↓, Garrido E. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Valencia K. ⚽, Castaneda Vanegas A. J. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza CEIF won 1.

Fortaleza CEIF is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Millonarios is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Millonarios is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza CEIF won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza CEIF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF Women
Colombian Liga Women
10.05.26	Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Inter Bogotá	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Inter Palmira - Fortaleza CEIF	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Orsomarso - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLLT
- Millonarios Women
Colombian Liga Women
11.05.26	Millonarios - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Millonarios - Llaneros	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
30.03.25	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	3:0
23.04.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios	0:2
21.08.21	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2
25.07.21	Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios	1:1
20.11.20	Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios	2:1
26.10.20	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0
21.07.19	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0

Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide