Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 19

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Fortaleza U20		Vasco da Gama U20

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.10	2.05
	2.95	3.20	2.12
	3.44	3.34	2.13
	3.38	3.24	2.07	Watch
	3.40	3.34	2.08
	3.20	3.51	2.06
	3.10	3.25	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.7)	3.28 ↑ (3.15)	2.07 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza U20
28.2%

Draw
27.8%

Vasco da Gama U20
44%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.8%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza U20 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Vasco U20 is Qualified for Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Fortaleza U20 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vasco U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fortaleza U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vasco U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama U20 - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 38.94%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza U20
Brasileiro U20
23.06.26	São Paulo U20 - Fortaleza U20	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Fortaleza U20 - Avaí U20	0:0 ✺
11.06.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Fortaleza U20	3:2 ✺
27.05.26	Fortaleza U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Vasco da Gama U20
Brasileiro U20
25.06.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Criciúma U20	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	0:1 ✺
17.06.26	Bahia U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1 ✺
11.06.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Cuiabá U20	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Avaí U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
14.05.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Fortaleza U20	4:2
26.09.21	Fortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:2

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