Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Vasco da Gama U20		Sampaio Corrêa FE U20

	1	X	2
	1.13	6.50	21.00
	1.20	5.60	9.00
	1.12	7.19	13.37
	1.15	6.8	13
	1.10	7.10	13.00
	1.16	6.91	13.80
	1.11	7.60	15.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.2)	6.81 ↑ (5.6)	14.02 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama U20
80.1%

Draw
13.4%

Sampaio Corrêa FE U20
6.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.2%

15.9%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama U20's performance.

Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Vasco da Gama U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 5th in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Vasco U20 is Qualified for Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals).

Sampaio Corrêa U20 is Qualified for Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals).

Vasco U20 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sampaio Corrêa U20 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sampaio Corrêa U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Vasco U20 holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Vasco U20 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Vasco U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama U20 - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 74.2%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
11.10.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	4:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil U20
08.10.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	3:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Carioca U20
03.10.26	Fluminense U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1 ✺
30.09.26	Madureira U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWW
- Sampaio Corrêa FE U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
10.10.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Madureira U20	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Boavista SC U20	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Fluminense U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	5:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca U20
16.08.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	4:1

Vasco da Gama U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20