Match Info

Capixaba - Round 5

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vargem Alta (Vargem Alta)


	Forte Rio Bananal		Serra

	1	X	2
	4.25	2.92	1.88
	5.01	2.47	1.91
	4.79	2.71	1.94	Watch
	3.75	2.9	1.95
	4.82	2.79	1.87
	3.75	3.33	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↓ (4.75)	2.85 ↓ (3.84)	1.9 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forte Rio Bananal
20.6%

Draw
31.8%

Serra
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

23.8%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forte Rio Bananal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Forte Rio Bananal - Serra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barto (G) 4. Breno Mariano 8. Darlan 6. Edimar (C) 2. Gabriel Mistura 20. Lucas Dede 7. Marcelo 11. Matheus Arcado 9. Rael 5. Riquelme 10. Valdeir	1. Pedro Henrique (G) 20. Bruno Paixao 14. Edson Mika 21. Gean Miller 11. Marcudinho 9. Patrick (C) 7. Pepeu 4. Rossales 3. Ruan Lopes 5. Walney 15. Yuri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Rael ⚽,
26', Edimar 🟨,
31', Valdeir 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Rael ↓, Goncalves I. ↑,
58', Gean Miller ↓, Marco Damasceno ↑,
62', Lucas Dede 🟨,
67', Bruno Paixao ↓, Chico ↑,
70', Goncalves I. 🟨,
75', Barto ↓, Felipe ↑,
75', Marcelo ↓, Schneider ↑,
75', Allanzinho ↓, Iago Nogueira ↑,
81', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Valdeir (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Forte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Serra is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Forte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forte Rio Bananal
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
25.01.26	Rio Branco-VN - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Porto Vitória - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Forte Rio Bananal - Capixaba SC	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Noroeste - Forte Rio Bananal	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Capixaba 2
11.10.25	Serra - Forte Rio Bananal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TTLWL
- Serra FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
25.01.26	Serra - Capixaba SC	3:0 ✺
22.01.26	Noroeste - Serra	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Serra - Desportiva Ferroviaria	3:0 ✺
13.01.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Serra	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Capixaba 2
11.10.25	Serra - Forte Rio Bananal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Capixaba 2
11.10.25	Serra - Forte Rio Bananal	1:0

Forte Rio Bananal - Serra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide