Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Spring Season - Round 7

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Forte Arena (Taganrog)


	Forte Taganrog		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.4	8.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	3.4 ↓ (3.44)	8.05 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forte Taganrog
61.9%

Draw
26.8%

Kaluga
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

24.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forte Taganrog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaluga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forte Taganrog than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forte Taganrog that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaluga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Forte Taganrog - Kaluga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Moskalenko N. (G) 70. Amiraliev A. 79. Grechkin A. 15. Kanaev D. 88. Kartashov D. 22. Muromskiy N. 47. Nikolaev T. 8. Panamarev N. 5. Shvedyuk I. 46. Sukharev A. 17. Titarenko V.	1. Ismagilov A. (G) 9. Agureev D. 86. Ershov K. 6. Kalistratov T. 38. Khleborodov I. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 10. Muminov I. 23. Petrovskiy Y. 4. Polev A. 5. Strelnik M. 7. Zaretskiy D.
Substitutes
85. Davydov D. (G) 42. Gayvoronskiy D. 24. Ivashin A. 21. Klimov N. 11. Kochkanyan S. 10. Kolmakov M. 77. Kuptsov D. 7. Mkrtychyan A. 14. Okhrimenko E. 26. Panchenko A. 35. Safronov R. (G)	57. Asaidulin R. F. 69. Grishin I. 22. Gutsa A. 77. Maksimchuk A. 95. Proskura A. 81. Tyumin A. (G) 37. Ushakov E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Zaretskiy D. ↓, Maksimchuk A. ↑,
64', Khleborodov I. ↓, Asaidulin R. F. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Asaidulin R. F. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Relegation)).

Recent matches Forte Taganrog is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kaluga is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Forte Taganrog is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forte Taganrog
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
05.04.25	Irtysh Omsk - Forte Taganrog	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Forte Taganrog - Dynamo 2 Moscow	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Forte Taganrog	5:0 ✺
15.03.25	Forte Taganrog - Dynamo Vladivostok	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Avangard Kursk - Forte Taganrog	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLTL
- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
05.04.25	Kaluga - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Irtysh Omsk - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Kaluga - Murom	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Kaluga - Dynamo Kirov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWLL

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