Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Orbita stadium (Kaluga)


	Kaluga		Murom

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.74	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.05)	2.74 ↓ (3.2)	3.69 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
41.1%

Draw
33.8%

Murom
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.4%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Murom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murom than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Kaluga - Murom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 33. Daliev D. 22. Detenyshev I. 86. Ershov K. 5. Konovalov V. 47. Kravtsov Z. 17. Matyushenko I. 32. Sokolov I. 37. Ushakov E. 8. Yugaldin D. 7. Zaretskiy D.	31. Natabashvili G. (G) 67. Erokhin K. 77. Gubiev E. 11. Ilyin S. 40. Ivashin A. 20. Khalnazarov R. 17. Nasyrov I. 5. Okhrimenko E. 99. Rozhkov N. 4. Samuel A. 21. Teterlev E.
Substitutes
23. Boldyrev B. 68. Grigoriev A. (G) 69. Grishin I. 16. Gritsun P. (G) 19. Kuzin N. Y. 6. Kuzmin A. 11. Lapaev O. 12. Lipaev E. 77. Maksimchuk A. 10. Pershin Y. 95. Proskura A. 88. Supagin N.	56. Ivakhnov M. 10. Knyazev D. 36. Kondramashin B. 71. Nechaev A. 81. Roshchin K. 1. Sedov E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Ushakov E. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Yugaldin D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Zaretskiy D. ↓, Kuzin N. Y. ↑,
55', Okhrimenko E. ↓, Ivakhnov M. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Erokhin K. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Yugaldin D. ⚽,
73', Nasyrov I. ↓, Knyazev D. ↑,
73', Teterlev E. ↓, Roshchin K. ↑,
74', 🟨,
74', Ushakov E. ↓, Kuzmin A. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Yugaldin D. ⚽,
88', Matyushenko I. ↓, Lipaev E. ↑,
88', Kravtsov Z. ↓, Supagin N. ↑,
89', Rozhkov N. ↓, Kondramashin B. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kaluga could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kaluga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Murom - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.17%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
30.08.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Kaluga	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Kaluga - Dynamo Vladivostok	4:1 ✺
Russian Cup
19.08.25	Kaluga - Amkal Moscow	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
16.08.25	Kaluga - Rodina Moscow 2	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Torpedo Miass - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWT
- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
30.08.25	Murom - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Murom - Rodina Moscow 2	5:0 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk - Murom	3:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
16.08.25	Irtysh Omsk - Murom	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Murom - Kuban Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
26.07.25	Murom - Kaluga	0:1
10.05.25	Murom - Kaluga	0:3
22.03.25	Kaluga - Murom	2:1

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