Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Sandhausen

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.6	4	5.3
	1.66	3.94	5.67
	1.6	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.64	3.94	5.15	Watch
	1.62	3.95	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)	3.88 ↑ (3.75)	5.42 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
58.1%

Draw
24.4%

Sandhausen
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.9%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

28.1%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	5.9%	29.4%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Sandhausen Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Sandhausen will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Fortuna has the most likely position - 6 (14.91%), has project points - 51, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (21.25%), has project points - 36, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, importance 34, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sandhausen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sandhausen have a series of home games.

In this match Fortuna is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German DFB Pokal
08.02.23	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
03.02.23	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:1 ✺
27.01.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.01.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1:0 ✺
10.01.23	Borussia Dortmund - Fortuna Düsseldorf	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL
- SV Sandhausen
German DFB Pokal
07.02.23	Sandhausen - Freiburg	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
03.02.23	Sandhausen - Darmstadt	0:4 ✺
29.01.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Sandhausen	1:2 ✺
Tipsport Malta Cup
19.01.23	Sandhausen - Swarovski Tirol	3:2 ✺
17.01.23	Sandhausen - Zlín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.08.22	Sandhausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
17.12.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Sandhausen	0:1
25.07.21	Sandhausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2
13.03.21	Sandhausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0
21.11.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Sandhausen	1:0
02.02.18	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Sandhausen	1:0
27.08.17	Sandhausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2

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