Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Nürnberg		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.7
	2.32	3.4	2.82	Watch
	2.44	3.62	2.96
	2.29	3.62	2.94	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	2.33	3.54	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.27)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	2.85 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
40.2%

Draw
26.8%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.5%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

26.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Fortuna will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 50%). Fortuna (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reichert J. (G) 27. von der Hitz J. 4. Gruber F. (C) 24. Lochoshvili L. 21. Yilmaz B. 6. Markhiev A. 25. Becker F. O. 10. Justvan J. 5. Baack T. 37. Maboulou N. 33. Grimaldi A.	1. Lotka M. (G) 15. Oberdorf T. (C) 44. Egouli E. 46. Suso S. 16. Tanaka S. 19. Iyoha E. 8. El Azzouzi A. 24. Muslija F. 3. Lenz C. 13. Itten C. 23. Appelkamp S.
Substitutes
7. Biron M. 20. Fernandez J. 8. Koudossou H. 18. Lubach R. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 44. Mkrtchyan S. 22. Nzingoula R. 39. Scobel P. 16. Soldic M.	14. Alexandropoulos S. 2. Daland J. 5. Heyer M. 20. Ljubicic M. 27. Paulina J. 7. Raimund L. 29. Sauck K. 26. Schock F. (G) 25. Zimmermann M.
Coaches
Klose M.	Anfang M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Gruber F. ↓, Mkrtchyan S. ↑,
45', Egouli E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Appelkamp S. ⚽,
54', Maboulou N. ↓, Lubach R. ↑,
54', Grimaldi A. ↓, Scobel P. ↑,
67', Lenz C. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
71', von der Hitz J. ↓, Koudossou H. ↑,
71', Becker F. O. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
77', Muslija F. 🟨,
84', Appelkamp S. ↓, Zimmermann M. ↑,
84', Iyoha E. ↓, Alexandropoulos S. ↑,
84', El Azzouzi A. ↓, Daland J. ↑,
88', Itten C. ↓, Paulina J. ↑,
90+4', Nzingoula R. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fortuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Nürnberg: Becker F. O. (Yellow Cards) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H. (Injury) Breithaupt T. (Hip Injury) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schmidt K. (Knee Injury) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) de Wijs J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna: Lenz C. (Inactive) Lunddal V. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:30. (average 1.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nurnberg	6	5	1	0	16:6	10	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.26	Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Bochum - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Nürnberg - Karlsruher	5:1 ✺
07.02.26	Paderborn - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Nürnberg - Preußen Münster	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWLT
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
27.02.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Bochum	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
03.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg	2:3
26.04.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg	3:3
01.12.24	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2
03.05.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg	3:1
02.12.23	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:5
22.04.23	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0
German DFB Pokal
08.02.23	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 penalties

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