Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 17

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Fortuna Köln		Sportfreunde Lotte

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.65	3.6
	1.84	3.82	3.72
	1.54	4.02	5.27	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.72
	1.84	3.75	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.54)	3.77 ↓ (4.02)	3.99 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Köln
52.2%

Draw
24.6%

Sportfreunde Lotte
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

22.9%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Köln's form might have worsened.

Sportfreunde Lotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportfreunde Lotte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportfreunde Lotte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fortuna Köln - Sportfreunde Lotte Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SF Lotte (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Thier N. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Bornemann T. ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, Wirtz E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 4 - 0, Wirtz E. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Köln won 2.

Fortuna Köln is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SF Lotte has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Fortuna Köln is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Köln won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Köln won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
22.11.25	Siegen - Fortuna Köln	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Fortuna Köln - Paderborn II	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Wiedenbrück - Fortuna Köln	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Fortuna Köln - Köln II	3:2 ✺
17.10.25	Schalke 04 II - Fortuna Köln	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTWWT
- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
22.11.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bonner	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:3 ✺
31.10.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Gütersloh	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
08.03.25	Fortuna Köln - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1
21.09.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Köln	1:1
14.05.22	Fortuna Köln - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1
15.02.22	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Köln	1:2
27.02.21	Fortuna Köln - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:2
03.10.20	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Köln	1:0
19.10.19	Fortuna Köln - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:0

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