Match Info

Date: 16 January 2021, Saturday


	Fortuna Köln		Bergisch Gladbach

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.4	4.5	5.75
	1.4	4.1	6.4
	1.41	4.4	6.4
	1.41	4.83	7.48
	1.4	4.33	7
	1.42	4.75	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	4.49 ↑ (4.44)	6.57 ↑ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Köln
65.5%

Draw
20.5%

Bergisch Gladbach
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

20.6%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

11.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Bergisch Gladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-28.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Köln that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergisch Gladbach than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergisch Gladbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortuna Köln - Bergisch Gladbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fortuna Köln is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bergisch Gladbach is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Fortuna Köln is indisputable favorite.

In this match Fortuna Köln is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fortuna Köln won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Köln won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
19.12.20	Fortuna Köln - Rödinghausen	3:2 ✺
16.12.20	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Fortuna Köln	0:3 ✺
12.12.20	Schalke 04 II - Fortuna Köln	1:1 ✺
04.12.20	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Fortuna Köln	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWT
- Bergisch Gladbach
German Regionalliga West
19.12.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Bergisch Gladbach	5:2 ✺
16.12.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Wuppertal	1:0 ✺
12.12.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Lippstadt 08	0:3 ✺
05.12.20	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Bergisch Gladbach	1:1 ✺
02.12.20	Homberg - Bergisch Gladbach	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
05.09.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Fortuna Köln	0:2
05.10.19	Fortuna Köln - Bergisch Gladbach	2:1
06.04.13	Fortuna Köln - Bergisch Gladbach	3:1

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