Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Rot-Weiß Ahlen		Bergisch Gladbach

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.75
	2.4	3.6	2.4
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.31	3.35	2.8
	2.32	3.58	3
	2.33	3.6	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.41)	3.47 ↓ (3.57)	2.76 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
40%

Draw
26.6%

Bergisch Gladbach
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

18.2%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bergisch Gladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rot-Weiß Ahlen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergisch Gladbach than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergisch Gladbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rot Weiß Ahlen - Bergisch Gladbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Ahlen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bergisch Gladbach is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ahlen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
28.11.20	Rödinghausen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:0 ✺
25.11.20	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Schalke 04 II	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:1 ✺
14.11.20	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:2 ✺
07.11.20	Preußen Münster - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTLL
- Bergisch Gladbach
German Regionalliga West
02.12.20	Homberg - Bergisch Gladbach	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3
14.11.20	Wiedenbrück - Bergisch Gladbach	4:1 ✺
04.11.20	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bergisch Gladbach	2:2 ✺
31.10.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Köln II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLTT

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