Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Fortuna Düsseldorf II		Bergisch Gladbach

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.45	4.2	5.5
	1.38	4.3	6.4
	1.42	4.4	6.2
	1.42	4.86	7
	1.42	4.33	6.5
	1.44	4.65	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)	4.42 ↑ (4.28)	6.31 ↑ (5.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
64.7%

Draw
20.8%

Bergisch Gladbach
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21.5%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

12.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Bergisch Gladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf II than the current prediction. (-27.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Düsseldorf II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergisch Gladbach than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergisch Gladbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Bergisch Gladbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 16).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Fortuna Düsseldorf II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fortuna Düsseldorf II is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fortuna Düsseldorf II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Düsseldorf II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf II
German Regionalliga West
12.12.20	Rödinghausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:2 ✺
06.12.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Schalke 04 II	0:1 ✺
02.12.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Alemannia Aachen	2:0 ✺
28.11.20	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:0 ✺
25.11.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW
- Bergisch Gladbach
German Regionalliga West
16.12.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Wuppertal	1:0 ✺
12.12.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Lippstadt 08	0:3 ✺
05.12.20	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Bergisch Gladbach	1:1 ✺
02.12.20	Homberg - Bergisch Gladbach	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
12.10.19	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Bergisch Gladbach	3:0
Club Friendly
26.01.19	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Bergisch Gladbach	0:3
German Regionalliga West
13.04.13	Bergisch Gladbach - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:2

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