Match Info

Jia League - Round 15

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center (Foshan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Foshan Nanshi		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.75	4.33	1.36
	8.1	4.65	1.3	Watch
	8.93	4.8	1.32
				Watch
	8.5	4.2	1.36
	8.95	4.65	1.3	Watch
	6.15	4.53	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.9 ↑ (6.75)	4.53 ↓ (4.6)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Foshan Nanshi
11.5%

Draw
20.1%

Liaoning Tieren
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

19.7%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

18.9%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Foshan Nanshi - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Yang Chao (C) 13. Zhang Xingbo 35. He Mingli 24. Wu Yuchen 14. Yao Xilong 17. Maslac M. 36. Shi Liang 29. Sun Xiaobin 7. Albarracin N. 30. Huang Chuqi 26. Yao-hsing Yu	20. Liu Weiguo (G) 2. Sun Kangbo 5. Li Peng 3. Pan Ximing 28. Xu Dong 4. Liu Langzhou 18. Tian Yinong 8. Samuel A. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 14. Zang Yifeng 9. Mbenza G.
Substitutes
44. Antwi R. 9. Chang Feiya 16. Hua Mingcan 39. Li Bowen 23. Liu Xiangchen 25. Liu Xinyu 37. Qin Haoqing (G) 18. Ruan Jun 31. Yao Hui 8. Zhang Zichao 27. Zheng Junwei 11. Zhong Ziqin	1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Yongze 19. Gao Haisheng 6. Gao Jiarun 11. Gui Zihan 32. Mao Kaiyu 44. Nijat Pirkani 36. Tian Deao 16. Wang Tianci 25. Yang Jian 17. Zhao Jianbo 41. Zheng Zhiyun
Coaches
Wang Hongwei	Li Jinyu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Sun Xiaobin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Samuel A. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
55', Zhang Xingbo ↓, Antwi R. ↑,
56', Xu Dong 🟨,
63', 0 - 2, Mbenza G. ⚽, Zang Yifeng (A),
66', Wu Yuchen ↓, Ruan Jun ↑,
66', Yao-hsing Yu ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
72', Zang Yifeng ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
73', Mbenza G. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
81', Huang Chuqi ↓, Chang Feiya ↑,
86', Kunimoto T. ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
88', Shi Liang ↓, Zheng Junwei ↑,
90+3', Liu Langzhou ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
90+4', Yao Xilong 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Foshan Nanshi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Liaoning Tieren is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Liaoning Tieren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Liaoning Tieren is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Foshan Nanshi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
29.06.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Foshan Nanshi	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Ningbo Professional - Foshan Nanshi	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Foshan Nanshi - Yanbian Longding	2:2 ✺
31.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Dalian Kun City - Foshan Nanshi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLTTL
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
28.06.25	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Liaoning Tieren - Ningbo Professional	3:0 ✺
31.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
26.10.24	Foshan Nanshi - Liaoning Tieren	0:2
15.06.24	Liaoning Tieren - Foshan Nanshi	0:1

Upcoming Matches