Match Info

League One - Round 12

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center (Foshan)


	Foshan Nanshi		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	2.95	2.45
	3.00	3.10	2.28	Watch
	3.08	3.10	2.61
	2.95	2.58	2.85	Watch
	3.00	2.75	2.55
	2.96	2.76	2.49	Watch
	2.80	2.90	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	2.53 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foshan Nanshi
31.6%

Draw
32%

Yanbian Longding
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.5%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.9%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Foshan Nanshi - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Shi Xiaton (G) 2. Qian Yumiao 12. Liu Zongyuan 19. Liu H. 15. Benavides N. 30. Huang Chuqi 8. Gabriel Bispo 13. Zhang Xingbo (C) 44. Antwi R. 7. Mu Zihan 11. Ndiaye M.	21. Kou Jiahao (G) 33. Hu Ziqian 15. Xu Jizu 19. Duan Dezhi 14. Cui Taixu 17. Piao Shihao (C) 5. Domingos J. 20. Jin Taiyan 30. Huang Zhenfei 10. Brown F. 37. Giovanny
Substitutes
9. Chang Feiya 6. Chen Guokang 26. Ge Yifan (G) 18. Han Kunda 3. Jiang W. 22. Jiang Z. 5. Jin Liangkuan 16. Li Ruiyue 23. Wen Junjie 14. Zheng Junwei 10. Zhong Ziqin	2. Che Zeping 43. Cui Xuanyou 40. Jin Xingdao 36. Li R. 7. Li Shibin 6. Li Ximin 13. Wang Haocheng (G) 23. Wang Zihao 16. Xu Wenguang 29. Yang Erhai 9. Zong Xuanyu
Coaches
Zhang Chiming	Lee Ki-Hyung

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Domingos J. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Xu Jizu ⚽, Domingos J. (A),
45+1', Qian Yumiao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Qian Yumiao ↓, Jiang Z. ↑,
46', Mu Zihan ↓, Zhong Ziqin ↑,
71', Duan Dezhi ↓, Che Zeping ↑,
72', Huang Chuqi ↓, Han Kunda ↑,
80', Liu H. 🟨,
81', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Li Ruiyue ↑,
82', Domingos J. 🟨,
83', Jin Taiyan ↓, Xu Wenguang ↑,
86', Li Ruiyue 🟨,
89', Piao Shihao ↓, Wang Zihao ↑,
90+1', Wang Zihao 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6).

Foshan Nanshi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Yanbian Longding has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Foshan Nanshi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Foshan Nanshi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yanbian Longding	25	9	9	7	34:28	6	36
16	Foshan Nanshi	25	3	7	15	25:49	-24	16

Last Results with these Odds

Yanbian Longding - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.07%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Foshan Nanshi - Shaanxi Union	0:5 ✺
30.05.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Foshan Nanshi	3:3 ✺
23.05.26	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
15.05.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Foshan Nanshi	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
10.05.26	Foshan Nanshi - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTLT
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Changchun Yatai	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Yanbian Longding	3:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.05.26	Shanghai Second - Yanbian Longding	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
10.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
18.10.25	Yanbian Longding - Foshan Nanshi	4:1
14.06.25	Foshan Nanshi - Yanbian Longding	2:2
03.11.24	Yanbian Longding - Foshan Nanshi	0:1
30.06.24	Foshan Nanshi - Yanbian Longding	2:0

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