Match Info

Jia League - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Liaoning Tieren		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.53	3.85	5.4	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.7
	1.58	3.85	5.75	Watch
	1.53	3.7	5.8
	1.53	3.84	5.41	Watch
	1.61	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.95)	3.81 ↑ (3.56)	5.47 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
59.2%

Draw
24.1%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.4%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shijiazhuang Gongfu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shijiazhuang Gongfu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Shijiazhuang Gongfu (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liaoning Tieren will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Liaoning Tieren (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shijiazhuang Gongfu (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 6. Gao Jiarun 5. Li Peng 28. Xu Dong 19. Gao Haisheng 18. Tian Yinong 15. Felipe 11. Gui Zihan 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 14. Zang Yifeng 8. Samuel A.	31. Luan Yi (G) 27. Gao Huaze 36. Yang Yun 19. Liu H. (C) 14. Ma Chongchong 8. Ayovi J. 33. Dankler 10. An Yifei 20. Liu Le 29. Wang Jingbin 9. Olavio
Substitutes
1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Yongze 32. Mao Kaiyu 36. Tian Deao 16. Wang Tianci 12. Wu Jiongde (G) 25. Yang Jian 37. Zhang Jiaming 17. Zhao Jianbo 41. Zheng Zhiyun	2. Deng Jiajie 22. Lin Xiang (G) 5. Liu Y. 7. Liu Ziming 1. Nie Xuran (G) 23. Ouyang Bang 4. Pan Kui 37. Xu Jiashi 38. Yu Bohan 21. Zhan Sainan 45. Zhao Z. 11. Zhu Haiwei
Coaches
Li Jinyu	Zhang Hui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Tian Yinong 🟨,
45+2', Ma Chongchong 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Gao Jiarun ↓, Wang Tianci ↑,
60', Gui Zihan ↓, Zhang Jiaming ↑,
61', Olavio ↓, Zhu Haiwei ↑,
71', Ayovi J. ↓, Liu Ziming ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Zhang Jiaming ⚽, Zang Yifeng (A),
76', Xu Dong 🟨,
83', Wang Jingbin ↓, Zhao Z. ↑,
83', Ma Chongchong ↓, Zhan Sainan ↑,
90+2', Samuel A. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Shijiazhuang Gongfu has had a series of home games.

In this match, Liaoning Tieren is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
25.05.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	0:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
17.05.25	Dingnan United - Liaoning Tieren	3:3 ✺
11.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTWW
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
25.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Beijing Guoan	0:5 ✺
Chinese Jia League
17.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao Red Lions	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:4 ✺
04.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
22.09.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren	0:1
05.05.24	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2
03.09.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren	1:1
20.05.23	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1
05.08.22	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2
19.07.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren	0:0

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