Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		L Aquila

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.8	4.75
	1.64	3.71	4.71	Watch
	1.59	3.65	5.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)	3.72 ↑ (3.65)	4.83 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
56.7%

Draw
24.4%

L Aquila
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ostia Mare - L Aquila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).

Ostia Mare has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

L Aquila has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ostia Mare is considered a favorite.

We predict that Ostia Mare will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ostia Mare won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ostia Mare won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	L Aquila	6	4	2	0	12:2	10	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.04.26	Notaresco - Ostia Mare	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Ostia Mare - Chieti	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Sammaurese - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Teramo - Ostia Mare	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Ostia Mare - UniPomezia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTW
- L Aquila Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.04.26	Sammaurese - L Aquila	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	L Aquila - Notaresco	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Fossombrone - L Aquila	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	L Aquila - Teramo	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Vigor Senigallia - L Aquila	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
07.12.25	L Aquila - Ostia Mare	3:0
Italian Serie D - Group G
29.01.17	Ostia Mare - L Aquila	0:0
25.09.16	L Aquila - Ostia Mare	1:1

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