Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense 2 - Round 8

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday


	Foz do Iguaçu		Apucarana

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.5	3.79	5.61
	1.51	3.79	5.61
	1.48	3.94	5.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.58)	3.82 ↑ (3.45)	5.68 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foz do Iguaçu
60.4%

Draw
23.7%

Apucarana
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

26.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

17.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foz do Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Apucarana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foz do Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foz do Iguaçu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apucarana than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apucarana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Foz do Iguaçu - Apucarana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Paranaense 3).

Recent matches Foz do Iguaçu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Apucarana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Foz do Iguaçu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Apucarana have a series of home games.

In this match Foz do Iguaçu is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foz do Iguaçu FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense 2
16.06.24	Foz do Iguaçu - Rio Branco PR	2:2 ✺
08.06.24	Laranja Mecânica - Foz do Iguaçu	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Foz do Iguaçu - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Nacional PR - Foz do Iguaçu	2:2 ✺
12.05.24	Foz do Iguaçu - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTTT
- Apucarana SC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense 2
15.06.24	Apucarana - Laranja Mecânica	1:2 ✺
09.06.24	Apucarana - Paranavaí	0:1 ✺
01.06.24	Patriotas - Apucarana	2:1 ✺
26.05.24	Apucarana - Nacional PR	1:2 ✺
19.05.24	Apucarana - Grêmio Maringá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

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