Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARANAENSE - ROUND 8

Date: 9 February 2023, Thursday


	Foz do Iguaçu		Londrina

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.62
	4.8	3.4	1.61
	5.25	3.3	1.57
	4.27	3.77	1.71
	5.25	3.2	1.65
	5.05	3.5	1.66	Watch
	5	3.5	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (4.44)	3.45 ↑ (3.27)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foz do Iguaçu
18.4%

Draw
26.2%

Londrina
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

27.9%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

25.3%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foz do Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foz do Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Londrina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Foz do Iguaçu - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Foz do Iguaçu will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Londrina will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Foz do Iguaçu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Londrina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Foz do Iguaçu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Londrina is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Foz do Iguaçu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Foz do Iguaçu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foz do Iguaçu FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
05.02.23	Rio Branco PR - Foz do Iguaçu	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Foz do Iguaçu - São-Joseense	2:5 ✺
28.01.23	Cianorte - Foz do Iguaçu	3:1 ✺
25.01.23	Athletico Paranaense - Foz do Iguaçu	3:1 ✺
21.01.23	Foz do Iguaçu - Aruko Sports	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
05.02.23	São-Joseense - Londrina	1:0 ✺
02.02.23	Londrina - Rio Branco PR	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Aruko Sports - Londrina	0:0 ✺
26.01.23	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	3:2 ✺
22.01.23	Cianorte - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
17.03.19	Londrina - Foz do Iguaçu	1:0
21.01.18	Foz do Iguaçu - Londrina	2:2
18.03.17	Foz do Iguaçu - Londrina	0:1
27.02.16	Foz do Iguaçu - Londrina	1:0

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