The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletico Paranaense 83.5%
Draw 12.3%
Foz do Iguaçu 4.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.5%
21%
10.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
18.4%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.
Foz do Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Foz do Iguaçu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-23.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletico Paranaense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foz do Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foz do Iguaçu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Athletico Paranaense - Foz do Iguaçu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Santos (C) 33. Aguirre F. 4. Arthur Dias 47. Chiqueti 37. Esquivel L. 2. Gilberto Junior 61. Leo Derik 7. Mendoza S. 27. Portilla J. 9. Viveros K. 10. Zapelli B.
23. Andre Junio (G) 2. Alan Dias 6. Arthur Vignoli 5. Breno Augusto (C) 11. Hiago Monteiro 14. John Lessa 10. Junior Palmares 20. Lucas Alves 8. Menezes 3. Thyller Lopes 9. Vinicius Peixoto
Substitutes
48. Bruninho 26. Claudinho 63. Diogo Riquelme 53. Dudu Kogitzki 16. Jadson 57. Joao Cruz 20. Julimar 3. Leo 21. Leozinho 19. Luiz Fernando 14. Luiz Gustavo 1. Mycael (G)
12. Addi (G) 21. Adisa D. 18. Alex Oliveira 22. Alex Rocha 7. Daniel Oliveira 1. Diego Cardoso (G) 17. Marcus Uberaba 16. Pedro Elias 4. Renato Neves 13. Tiago Novaes 19. Vinicius Ribeiro 15. Wellington Silva
Coaches
Hellmann O.
Adriano Souza
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Viveros K. (Penalty Awarded),
27', 1 - 0, Zapelli B. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Viveros K. ⚽,
44', Thyller Lopes 🟨,
45+1', Viveros K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Viveros K. ↓, Julimar ↑,
46', Mendoza S. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
61', Hiago Monteiro 🟨,
63', 3 - 0, Esquivel L. ⚽,
64', Vinicius Peixoto ↓, Daniel Oliveira ↑,
65', Portilla J. ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
66', Zapelli B. ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
69', 4 - 0, Julimar ⚽,
71', Lucas Alves 🟨,
74', Thyller Lopes ↓, Alex Rocha ↑,
74', Junior Palmares ↓, Adisa D. ↑,
74', Lucas Alves ↓, Marcus Uberaba ↑,
80', Gilberto Junior ↓, Leozinho ↑,
82', Bruninho 🟨,
86', Hiago Monteiro ↓, Alex Oliveira ↑,
90', 5 - 0, Leozinho ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 2.
In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Foz do Iguaçu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Foz do Iguaçu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Athletico PR is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
Brazil
Watch
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Santos (C) 
Aguirre F. 
Esquivel L. 
Adisa D. 
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