Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay (Cianorte)

Referee: Alves P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cianorte		Londrina

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.5
	2.49	3	2.7	Watch
	2.79	3.12	2.47
	2.67	3.14	2.53	Watch
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.46	3.52	2.64	Watch
	2.49	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.45)	3.18 ↓ (3.48)	2.61 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cianorte
35.8%

Draw
28.9%

Londrina
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.4%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cianorte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Cianorte - Londrina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leandro (G) 4. Anderson Salles (C) 11. Clinton U. 5. Danrley 2. Gabriel Souza 10. Guilherme Belea 6. Nicolas 8. Pedro Ivo 7. Rian Felipe 9. Vinicius Faria 3. Wesley	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Alison 3. Caio 10. Gustavo Franca 7. Henrique 11. Iago Teles 2. Joao Vitor 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 9. Pablo 4. Wallace (C)
Substitutes
14. Breno Augusto 15. Bruno Negueba 16. Didi 12. Eugenio Neto (G) 20. Gabriel Ramos 13. Handerson 19. Kevin Malthus 21. Marcio Maranhao 18. Mikael Mendes 25. Morishige Y. 22. Tiepo (G) 17. Tite	17. Breno Silva 14. Caina S. D. S. 22. Caio Rafael 12. Elzo (G) 19. Kaique 21. Kevyn Santos 15. Marco Antonio 18. Paredes M. 16. Rafael Soares 20. Wellington 13. Yago Lincoln
Coaches
Testoni J.	Claudinei Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Danrley 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pedro Ivo ↓, Gabriel Ramos ↑,
47', Wesley 🟨,
61', Rian Felipe ↓, Marcio Maranhao ↑,
62', Clinton U. ↓, Tite ↑,
67', Henrique ↓, Kaique ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Kaique ⚽,
73', Joao Vitor ↓, Rafael Soares ↑,
74', Gustavo Franca ↓, Wellington ↑,
78', Vinicius Faria ↓, Mikael Mendes ↑,
78', Danrley ↓, Breno Augusto ↑,
84', Caio 🟥,
87', Pablo ↓, Yago Lincoln ↑,
87', Lucas Marques ↓, Paredes M. ↑,
90+2', Testoni J. 🟨,
90+5', Anderson Salles 🟨,
90+9', Tite 🟨,
90+14', 0 - 2, Iago Teles (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cianorte won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cianorte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Cianorte won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:18 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cianorte won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cianorte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
15.02.25	Azuriz - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Cianorte - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Andraus - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Cianorte - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Cianorte - Coritiba	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLTW
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
15.02.25	Londrina - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Londrina - Andraus	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Rio Branco PR - Londrina	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Londrina - Azuriz	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	São-Joseense - Londrina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
22.01.25	Cianorte - Londrina	1:2
Club Friendly
22.12.24	Cianorte - Londrina	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
21.01.24	Cianorte - Londrina	1:0
22.01.23	Cianorte - Londrina	1:0
06.03.22	Londrina - Cianorte	1:0
20.05.21	Cianorte - Londrina	0:3
17.05.21	Londrina - Cianorte	1:1

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