The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valur 25.7%
Draw 21.1%
Fram 53.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
24.1%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
23.8%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valur's form might have worsened.
Fram has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fram's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fram than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fram, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
7.1%
71.4%
Valur - Fram Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Fram will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fram: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fram (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Schram F. (G) 22. Heimisson B. 28. Fridjonsson S. 6. Antonsson B. 24. Veldman M. 29. Veseli S. 17. Heimisson L. 36. Tufegdzic N. 8. Jonsson J. 14. Skoglund A. 12. Haraldsson T. (C)
22. Sigurdsson V. (G) 7. Konradsson K. 19. Chopart K. (C) 26. Runarsson S. 3. Thorbjornsson T. 8. Asgrimsson H. 25. Sigurdsson F. 18. Jonasson A. 12. Tibbling S. 10. Fred Saraiva 29. Dimitrijevic V.
Substitutes
25. Agustsson S. (G) 27. Eiriksson P. 19. Gardarson D. 13. Haagensen K. 30. Heiddalur G. 16. Kristjansson L. 9. Pedersen P. 26. Sigurbjornsson E. 37. Tufegdzic S.
23. Aegisson M. 15. Bystrom J. 16. Garcia I. 27. Gudmundsson S. 1. Hardarson S. (G) 9. Hauksson R. 14. Runolfsson B.
Coaches
Brazell C.
Kristinsson R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
9', 1 - 0, Heimisson L. ⚽, Antonsson B. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Sigurdsson F. ⚽, Jonasson A. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Asgrimsson H. ⚽, Jonasson A. (A),
28', 1 - 3, Fred Saraiva ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 3, Heimisson L. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
56', Antonsson B. 🟨,
60', Konradsson K. ↓, Hauksson R. ↑,
60', Tibbling S. ↓, Aegisson M. ↑,
61', Veseli S. ↓, Gardarson D. ↑,
61', Tufegdzic N. ↓, Pedersen P. ↑,
65', Runarsson S. 🟨,
68', Antonsson B. 🟨,
76', Heimisson B. 🟨,
76', Skoglund A. 🟨,
78', Fred Saraiva ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
78', Dimitrijevic V. ↓, Bystrom J. ↑,
86', Skoglund A. ↓, Tufegdzic S. ↑,
86', Jonsson J. ↓, Sigurbjornsson E. ↑,
87', Sigurdsson F. ↓, Garcia I. ↑,
90+2', Kristinsson R. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 2.
Recent form of Valur has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fram is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Valur has had a series of away games.
In this match, Fram is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
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Schram F. (G) 
Veldman M. 
Skoglund A. 
Chopart K. (C) 
Fred Saraiva 
Garcia I. 
Brazell C. 
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